Emotional purchases by middle-aged people
Who are the people who drive to Latvia to buy alcohol? A survey carried out by polling company Emor and published last week showed that the average Estonian alcohol tourist to Latvia is a 35-49-year-old Estonian male salaried worker who lives in a small town or rural settlement in Southern Estonia. His income is somewhat surprisingly high – more than 700 euros per family member.
«He is not someone for whom price is an issue as we are dealing with wealthier than average people,» said survey expert at Emor, Aivar Voog. «A person of below average income is perhaps not as mobile nor capable of spending the kind of money that would allow them to buy quantities that would make the trips worth while.»
Voog concluded that people who buy alcohol across the border are still emotional buyers who value the principle of economy above actual financial gain.
However, the situation is subject to change at any time. Calculations by the polling company suggest that should the price difference grow even greater, 26 percent of all alcohol purchased in Southern Estonia could come from Latvia in the future. Urmas Koidu said that it is clear the difference in prices will grow as the excise duty is scheduled to be hiked by 5 percent in Latvia and 10 percent in Estonia.
Koidu offered that the price difference will conquer Estonia's pain threshold once the amount of alcohol bought in Latvia becomes so great as to rob the state of the majority of planned excise duty revenue.
«For example we expect revenue to grow by 7-8 percent in a situation where the excise duty is hiked by 10 percent. However, if growth of revenue amounts to just 1-2 percent, we have to ask what is the point,» Koidu said. «Then you have the question of whether these hikes that are planned over four years are still purposeful.»