How well could the Swedes who planned changes to the Estonian hospitals network in 2000 foresee what would happen in Estonian medicine?
I went over the Swedes’ strategic plan and didn’t notice any blunders. However, it was clear in 2000 that birth rate forecasts were too optimistic. We almost reached the projected 15,000 annual births for a time, but it has come back down by today.
Their other recommendations have been entirely businesslike.
Why was the Swedes’ plan criticized so fiercely back then?
I wouldn’t go as far as calling it that, but it is understandable people were afraid of losing access to medical care if the forecast prescribed closing hospitals.
That is exactly the problem we have with obstetrical care in Valga and Põlva. The proposal to close the hospitals’ delivery wards was made without thinking it through, putting it on paper, and without discussing with locals how to ensure monitoring of pregnancy, delivery, transport to and from hospital, overnight stays etc. Had these matters been discussed with doctors and local people beforehand, we would have seen much less fear.
The Swedes’ development plan recommended Estonia to have 13 hospitals, while we currently have 20.
There is no sense in debating the number of hospitals. The important thing is to have medical assistance no more than an hour’s drive away, but county hospitals cannot be compared one for one. We need to look at the hospital’s service area and sustainability of services. It is important for people to be able to get emergency assistance in a given amount of time, without having to drive for several hours. However, the hospital in Valga doesn’t necessarily need to offer the same services as the one in Rakvere.