Changes are inevitable. On the one hand, national defence development plan for 2013–2022 requires that 3,200 recruits are trained yearly; meanwhile, however, the upcoming three years have fewer than 6,000 men listed in Defence Resources Agency (DRA), per year. Presumably, mere third of these will meet Defence Forces health requirements.
In reality, no one knows when we hit the critical wall. Contracting with Finland, for instance, it is the Estonian system’s peculiarity that one call-up notice may be compiled of ten years worth of perspective conscripts.
«It is not normal, of course, to man units with conscripts aged 27–28, but still the ten-year-slack makes it possible – so far – to get the 3,200 together. Quality, of course, is another matter,» said DRA director-general Margus Pae.
It’s a well-known secret that these past years Defence Forces units have not been satisfied with health and abilities of conscripts. According to Mr Pae, the Defence Forces will have to get used to the situation, for there will be no improvement.
One reason being that while last year, laws featured 17 bases to postpone army service, this year – by Riigikogu decision – there are 23 already. Behind these lies the lobby of interest groups, as well as international agreements and treaties.
«My call is very simple: let’s not make more of these [options to postpone army service – edit]. While we are talking of the shrinking ranks, the cutting of these bases would definitely be a way to guarantee credible defence capability,» said Mr Pae.